Showing posts with label #PRC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #PRC. Show all posts

The Double Veto - Interview with Professor Chen Fang-Yu

 Previously in May, we reported on the large pro-democracy street protests in Taipei, Taiwan, in opposition to new legislative reform bills being hastily pushed through the Legislative Yuan or parliament by the China-friendly Kuomintang Party or KMT and their smaller ally, the Taiwan People's Party or TPP.

We'd highly recommend going back and listening to our earlier episodes  - Taiwan Stands up for Democracy and Parliamentary Pandemonium and Public Protests - if you are interested in this topic.

The KMT-TPP combined majority was enough to carry the bills through parliament in May. The amendments aim to give lawmakers powers to subpoena private individuals and government officials, including the President, which could force them to hand over sensitive documents to lawmakers. The KMT and TPP say this is for better government oversight and to help combat corruption.

It also introduces a "contempt of legislature" clause which can impose fines and even prison for officials who disrespect the parliament. The latter has been heavily criticized by legal scholars who say it goes far beyond what is normal in other democratic countries.

After passing through the Legislature in May, the bills appeared before the Executive Yuan in the next step of the process.  The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) of President Lai Ching-te opposed the legislation in the parliament. And so it was no surprise when the Executive Yuan with the approval of President Lai requested the Legislature to reconsider these amendments on the week of June 17th - effectively vetoing the legislation and arguing that it would be difficult to implement because it violated various Constitutional Interpretations around the Legislature's scope of power.

It also appears that the KMT and TPP opposition parties have put forward additional items which are under review at this time, namely, Control of Party Assets, Restoration of a pro-China TV station and a number of major transportation infrastructure projects.

On Perspectives with Neilo, our goal is to present a balanced report and we have been eager to hear from a KMT spokesperson on this topic. We've visited KMT headquarters, phoned and emailed multiple times, however, as we publish this podcast, we have not yet been granted an interview with a KMT spokesperson.

On Wednesday June 19th as the bills came back to the Legislative Yuan for review, the Bluebird Movement gathered again on the streets around the parliament despite the scorching heat and thunderstorms. We went there to talk to one of the speakers, Assistant Professor Chen Fang-Yu (@FangYu_80168) from the Department of Political Science at Soochow University in Taiwan. He told us why the protests had returned and about additional bills being proposed by the KMT that are causing concerns. 

Date of Recording: June 19th, 2024




Under Taiwan's legal system, a request for reconsideration can be overturned by a simple legislative majority. On Friday June 21st, a majority of 62 votes comprising KMT, TPP as well as two independents rejected the Cabinet's request to reconsider the amendments to the Law Governing the Legislative Yuan's power and amendments to the criminal code.

This raises the question as to what comes next.

The ruling DPP says these reforms are unconstitutional and that their next step will be to challenge them in court. Experts and analysts we've talked to have told us that an appeal to the Constitutional Court is likely and if an appeal were lodged in June, it could be September or October before a verdict may be expected.

DPP Caucus whip Ker Chien-ming (柯建銘) said that because a constitutional ruling could take some time, the caucus will also file a motion for "a preliminary injunction ruling" by the Constitutional Court to keep the amended laws from being implemented before a final ruling is delivered.

The Bluebird Movement said that their efforts would also continue in the coming weeks.

Meanwhile, the KMT has also mobilized its supporters to stage counter protests in what they are calling Blue Eagle Action.


Professor Chen Fang-Yu addresses the pro-democracy protesters outside the Legislative Yuan in Taipei on June 19th
Professor Chen Fang-Yu addresses the pro-democracy protesters at the Legislative Yuan on June 19th.



DIVE DEEPER:

Additional information on the topics covered in this episode:


KMT Tweet:



CSIS Tweet:


Safeguarding Taiwan's Democracy from China's Disinformation Deluge

 With Taiwan's presidential election taking place in early January, the island's future relation with the neighboring People's Republic of China (PRC) occupies pole position on the ballot.

The PRC who claim Taiwan as their sovereign territory despite having never occupied or controlled it, have historically launched extensive disinformation campaigns to dissuade voters from supporting the ruling pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).

According to a 2022 report by the Digital Society Project, part of the Swedish institute Varieties of Democracy, Taiwan has ranked as the biggest target for foreign disinformation in the world for the last decade. Taiwanese politicians and researchers say the majority of those attacks originate from China.

In recent months, Beijing has been amping up its campaign of intimidation, disinformation and cyber attacks sending ever-increasing numbers of fighter jets into Taiwan's air defense identification zone, as well as exploiting Taiwan's free speech and open internet to manipulate politics and influence public opinion. Among their more popular disinformation tactics are inciting fear of a possible war of invasion and sowing skepticism about the sincerity of the support from Taiwan's allies, most notably the United States.

Disinformation actors also use current international events, such as the ongoing war in Gaza, to remind audiences of the dire consequences of war, sending the message that avoiding war with China is the best option for Taiwan. Beijing aims to convince Taiwanese people that unification is inevitable and irresistible, while balancing its deployment of coercive measures with incentive-driven approaches. 

Thankfully, there are a number of expert organizations in Taiwan that work full-time to investigate and debunk disinformation. One of those is the Taiwan Fact Check Center (@taiwantfc). According to their website, they are a non-profit NGO established by the Association for Quality Journalism and Taiwan Media Watch Foundation. Their mission is to fact-check claims related to public interest issues to promote reliable information, digital literacy, and to make Taiwan a better and stronger democratic society.

We met up recently with their CEO, Eve Chiu (邱家宜) to talk about the organization, examples of their debunking work, China's wumao disinformation army (五毛黨) and much more.


Date of Recording: November 16th, 2023.



Disinformation visualized by a flow of 1's and 0's from a hidden faced character in a hoodie with a CCP government crest in front of his face
Main image courtesy of Pixabay and Taiwan News (see link below)


DIVE DEEPER:

Additional information and references on the topics covered in this episode:

  • Seeing is not believing - deepfakes and cheap fakes spread during the 2024 Taiwan presidential election - Wei-Ping Li, Ph.D., Taiwan Fact Check Center (December 25th, 2023)
  • Additional Fact Check Organizations in Taiwan
  • Shadow Play [pdf download] - Jacinta Keast, Australian Strategic Policy Institute (2023) - see graph below
  • Wumao - 50 Cent Party - wiki

  • Title graphic image courtesy of Pixabay and Taiwan News


Graph of YouTube China propaganda video posting versus China Standard time
From Shadow Play by Jacinta Keast, ASPI, 2023 (see link above)

Taiwan Election 2024 - Interview with Brian Ting, KMT

 In this episode of Perspectives with Neilo, we bring you Part 3 in our mini-series on Taiwan's 2024 Presidential Election as we focus on the Kuomintang (中國國民黨) or KMT Party and their presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜). 

As we mentioned previously, this election outcome will likely have profound implications for Taiwan as it will set the tone for how authoritarian China, who claim Taiwan as their sovereign territory, will advance their expansionist agenda in the future.

The KMT or Blue Party, originally held power in China in the early 1900's but retreated to Taiwan in 1949 under the leadership of Chiang Kai-shek following defeat by the communists in the civil war. Chiang Kai-shek declared martial law and retained authoritarian rule over Taiwan until democratic reforms were enacted in the 1980's. The KMT's primary political rival in Taiwan are the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) or Green Party whom we have covered in the previous election episode.

Under the KMT presidency of Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) from 2008 to 2016, the KMT significantly loosened restrictions on cross-strait economic and cultural exchanges and in general are known to favor closer relations with the People Republic of China (PRC). In fact Hou Yu-ih in his election campaigning has recently talked of reviving the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (CSSTA) negotiated with China under Ma Ying-jeou. However, the CSSTA was never ratified in Taiwan due to widespread public protests in what became known as the Sunflower Movement.

Our guest in this episode is Brian Ting. He is a Republic of China (RoC) Legislator-at-large candidate and KMT Young Leadership Committee member. He is also a National Policy Foundation Sun Yun-suan (孫運璿)  (KMT Think Tank) scholar and former special assistant at the KMT USA representative office. We met him on November 22nd just prior to the conclusion of the KMT-TPP alliance discussions to talk about Hou Yu-ih's background, his policies on energy, foreign relations and much more.

After our interview, the KMT and TPP failed to form an alliance by the registration deadline and Hou Yu-ih officially named Jaw Shaw-kong (趙少康) as his vice presidential running mate. Jaw is a conservative talk show host and media tycoon and previously participated in Taiwan's politics in the 80's and 90's.

We have included additional information on the candidates and the topics covered in this episode as well as the latest polling data from Courtney Donovan Smith's Poll of Polls published in the Taiwan News (Dec 10th) in our DIVE DEEPER section below.

Date of Recording: November 22nd, 2023.



KMT Presidential Candidate Hou Yu-ih shakes hands with his vice presidential candidate Jaw Shaw-kong in front of KMT poster
KMT Presidential Candidate Hou Yu-ih (Left) and Vice Presidential Candidate Jaw Shaw-kong


DIVE DEEPER:

Additional information and references on the topics covered in this episode:

  • Jaw Shaw-kong - wiki
  • The Sunflower Movement - wiki



Important Note:
In our efforts to include as many points of view as possible in this election mini-series, we reached out to the Taiwan People's Party (TPP) for an interview. We visited their office and exchanged several emails, but eventually they declined. 
We also reached out to Terry Guo's campaign but received no response.