The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has long pursued a multi-pronged strategy to annex Taiwan — a campaign that has intensified in recent years. From near-daily military incursions into Taiwan’s Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) and territorial waters to provocative blockade exercises around the island, Beijing is steadily increasing pressure. Alongside these military threats, the CCP is waging a parallel campaign of propaganda, disinformation, and grey-zone activities — including infiltration of Taiwan’s government, military, and broader society.
Now, in a new twist, reports suggest that China’s leader Xi Jinping may use upcoming trade talks with the United States to pressure President Donald Trump into publicly opposing Taiwanese independence. On the surface, this might seem far-fetched — especially with Trump often cast as the “Dealmaker-in-Chief.” So why does Beijing believe it can gain the upper hand?
In this episode, we explore China’s strategic response to U.S. tariffs and examine the leverage the CCP holds in its complex relationship with Washington. We also assess how Trump-era foreign policy is shaping U.S.-Taiwan relations — and how Beijing is exploiting global uncertainty to push forward its authoritarian ambitions.
Typhoon Ragasa Relief Donations - click here for info via Taipei Times
Date of Recording: October 5th, 2025.
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Rare Earths, Real Pressure - China's Coercive Push on US-Taiwan Policy |
DIVE DEEPER:
Additional Information on the topics covered in this episode:
- Xi Is Chasing a Huge Concession From Trump: Opposing Taiwan Independence - Lingling Wei, Wall Street Journal (September 27th, 2025)
- Trump Is Shifting to Dealmaking Mode on China - Lingling Wei, Wall Street Journal (July 24th, 2025)
- Typhoon Ragasa makes landfall in China after 17 killed in Taiwan - Alys Davies, BBC (September 24th, 2025)
- Typhoon Ragasa death toll rises to 18 after body found in Hualien river - Lee Hsien-feng, Huang Li-yun and Evelyn Kao, Focus Taiwan (September 29th, 2025)
- UN General Assembly, TikTok, EU Chamber Position Paper - MERICS (September 26th, 2025)
- Taiwan convicts four former ruling party officials of spying for China - Amy Hawkins, The Guardian (September 25th, 2025)
- Taiwan convicts ex-presidential aide of spying for China - Yvette Tan, BBC (September 26th, 2025)
- Why China's rare earth exports are a key issue in trade tensions with US - Erin Hale, Al Jazeera (June 12th, 2025)
- Taiwan will not agree to 50-50 chip production deal with US, negotiator says - Reuters (October 2nd, 2025)
- Taiwan rejects U.S. proposal for '50-50' chip production, says trade talks focused on tariffs - Lim Hui Jie, Dylan Butts, CNBC (October 2nd, 2025)
- Taiwan says it will resist pressure from Washington to move half of chip production to US - John Liu, CNN (October 2nd, 2025)
- Trump says Taiwan stole America's chip industry. But that's not true - Wayne Chang, CNN (July 24th, 2024)
- Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll results (April 2025)
- Warsaw Forum 2025 - YouTube (Hsu Szu-Chien)
Credits:
Sound Soul (This Logo Reveal) by Diamond_Tunes via Pixabay
Chinese Asian Music by SoundGalleryDT via Pixabay
Translator voice by ElevenLabs.io